Who is gonna win the solo???

Anyone think Pat Dolan can be beat in any conditions?? I know every dog can have his day but the odds have to be heavily in his favor.

Submitted by jpi92109 on Mon, 03/26/2012 - 4:58pm

All the other contenders will be happy for him to have all the pressure and expectations,I hope you havent just jinxed him. May the best man on the day win, ( I hope its like Olamau was)

#1 Mon, 03/26/2012 - 5:29pm

Ahhh all I said was that the odds have to be in his favor! No Jinx there. Itll be a great battle to hear about tho with so many tough guys in the mix.

#2 Mon, 03/26/2012 - 6:16pm

My vote is for my new daddy, pal in town here.

#3 Mon, 03/26/2012 - 7:20pm

Wait a minute! what's all this talk about the paddler, since when did the paddler win a race. isn't it ALWAYS the boat which wins??

#4 Mon, 03/26/2012 - 7:35pm

It is the boat but there isn't anything really new this year so we gotta talk about something else. I think Noe Auger wins with a 45" blade on a smoking day!!

#5 Mon, 03/26/2012 - 8:55pm

I always tell my boat to go win the race and in my heart it always does

#6 Tue, 03/27/2012 - 7:20am

Go Justin Watts and Makana Denton!

#7 Tue, 03/27/2012 - 7:21am

Pat Dolan winds the solo paddling a two man canoe by himself, he is going to save the $50 the excort boat charges for having a boat coach by putting the boat coach on the back of the two man with his extra food. He'll win the surf ski crossing on a one man.

#8 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 9:12am


#9 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 10:28am

the reaction to Pat Dolan paddling in the pacific ocean creates a massive yet common phenomenon. in layman's terms this is called a "tide." if Pat Dolan were to paddle for two consecutive days in the Ka'iwi channel the natural balance of the world be so upset that we would have what is erroneously called a "wobble" of the earth's axis. this type of event is actually named a Dolanism. as predicted by stuffy scientists this Dolanism could then cause a polar shift that would swap magnetic north and south. the resulting calamity would result in the end of life as we know it. for this reason Pat Dolan has only been allowed to paddle in the Ka'iwi channel on an irregular basis at best. because of this restricted training regiment Pat Dolan only wins the solo by 15 minutes. not the 45 minute landslide victory that most predict.

#10 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 2:13pm

Is there an app I can download to see when pat is paddling so I'll know what the tide is doing? I heard when pat plants his blade he actually doesn't move the canoe forward but moves the island closer. I also heard he's not allowed to paddle in a no wake zone because it's physically impossible for him to go that slow.

#11 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 1:08pm

The only race pat has lost was one he got dq'd because the escort boat was caught riding his wake.

#12 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 1:17pm

I overheard manny say he has to give the lead safety boat a head start so the can stay in front of pat.

#13 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 1:19pm

Few people know this but pat catches his ow fish to feed his family. He used to drag a net behind his one man but he was catching to many, now he just corrals one or two with his one man to the beach. For a small fee he'll put you on back of a two man so you can take photos and drink beer.

#14 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 1:26pm

When the Ocean Playground Shuttle drops Pat off for a Hawaii Kai to Ewa Beach run they have to shut down H-1 westbound and she has to get a police escort to get to Ewa in time.

Pat used xtrain by swimming underwater with a 50lb rock, but navy shut him down cause he kept setting off torpedo defense systems.

#15 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 3:00pm

When Pat paddles in the Ala Wai at night it's said that the bioluminescent algae shines bright enough activatate solar panels on the moon. Many scientist think this is how we will start civilization on other planets.

#16 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 3:10pm

Pat actually won the last 5 channel crossing but the timers at the finish line weren't set up in tiime so he didn't get clocked, subsequently he got 5 DNF's. This year he's going to use an escort boat just to pace him so this doesn't happen anymore.

#17 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 3:21pm

Awe man : 0 ... THANK YOU ! healthyearth >>> damm funny


#18 Wed, 03/28/2012 - 11:04pm

Awesome!!! Haha!

"When Pat paddles in the Ala Wai at night it's said that the bioluminescent algae shines bright enough activatate solar panels on the moon. Many scientist think this is how we will start civilization on other planets."

#19 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 4:19am

Some guy from Kitsilano... Get to the finish line early to watch!

#20 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 5:16am

I'll be different and say Danny

#21 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 7:12am

Danny will for sure have the best looking canoe on the water. I just saw the paint job Makana did.

#22 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 9:52am

If Pat wins, if we're lucky Pat's mom will bring some of those brownies to the party which would be pretty awesome.

If Danny wins, however, the SUP media attention could very well pull us out of the recession since SUP makes up about 65% of the world economy at this point.

If Manny wins, then as usual he'll be too humble and embarrassed to say his own name when announcing the results, so after he reads off who got second place, he'll start giving mahalos to the sponsors and start talking up Eono Hoe next month and everyone will be real confused.

I just bought some stock in compression pants, because If Jimmy takes it, then the compression pants fad will explode overnight. Literally the very next day your grandma will be wearing compression pants while buying rice on sale at Longs.

#23 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:17am

I imagine there is a 5 time champion on Maui who might have an alternate view about who will win. It will be exciting for sure.

#24 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 11:00am

How can Kai not be the favorite?

#25 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 3:31pm

Well Kai did lose to Manny in both legs of the relay.

Look Pat is going to win.........the dude eats bees that try to sting him. It's def over if he puts compression pants on.

#26 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 3:46pm

Right. I just looked.

#27 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 3:52pm

What if Chuck Norris enters?

#28 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 3:53pm

He has no chance if he doesn't have compression clothing on.

#29 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 3:59pm

Wouldnt the compression pants hinder your ability to possibly have children in the future?? Now thats dedication!

#30 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 4:20pm

Pat only accepted Chuck Norris's facebook request just so he could delete it right afterwards.

#31 Thu, 03/29/2012 - 4:36pm

I wouldn't use an Oahu Relay to predict winner. I guess we will see.

Will Danny and other Kamanu riders be using the "New" pueo?

#32 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 7:32am

1) Pat
2) Manny/Jimmy/Danny
5) Kai
6) Karel but he might surprise everyone and blow everyone if there is surf.

You never know with the channel. Any one of those guys could win.

#33 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 10:52am

define "new"

#34 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 10:59am

If kai races and theres surf, I think it would be Pat then Kai. Easy. kai was barely worked after stroking day 3 of Olamau.

#35 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 12:46pm

"New"-I thought the crew at Kamanu was slightly modifying the current Pueo and testing to see if there were improvements in performance. If they have found some improvements, I would imagine they would place top rider on new design to try to win the Solo.

But the leadership at Kamanu is smarting than me-so we shall see.

#36 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 12:48pm

  1. Victor
  2. Indar / Lauren
  3. Lindsay
  4. ....
  5. Joe O' Malley
  6. Joe G
    .......Just filling out my race bracket.

#37 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 2:16pm

my serious prediction: if Kalei races he'll be in the top 10. if he has a great race top 5.

#38 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 7:48pm

Pat, den Koa Bruhn in a close second with kooks and kena sitting on the ama.

#39 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 8:48pm

At this point I almost don't care who wins as long as theres wind!

#40 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 9:23pm


#41 Fri, 03/30/2012 - 10:45pm

Are you sure a big 7 foot giant from Australia called Big Toddy won't win??
He beat all your race favourites in an epic Aus titles downwind race in aus in December.
And it wouldn't have mattered that they hadn't paddled for 2 months before and was up all night
going VB for VB with Aaron Napoleon!!!! Ok plus there wasn't any wind...lol

#42 Sat, 03/31/2012 - 11:06am

I heard of this big Toddy. I'll jump on his bandwagon if it's flat. But I'm sticking with Kalei otherwise.

#43 Sat, 03/31/2012 - 1:12pm

Today at the state champs race I was wondering why it took Pat so long to pass me, and then afterwards I heard he stuck around on the beach after the start to clean up everyone's trash before jumping on his boat and chasing us down and winning by 71 minutes.

#44 Sat, 03/31/2012 - 6:20pm


it will be cool if pat wins but im still picking karel vs pat in the surf. flat i think its toddy vs pat, but toddy might need a hurricane... ;)

#45 Sat, 03/31/2012 - 9:07pm

I'll second Big Toddy, and look out if there are bumps, he eats them ( think Water Guild on speed) Oh, and a word of warning, don't get into a sprint finish with Toddy :-)

#46 Sun, 04/01/2012 - 10:45am

And it's just been confirmed that Jamie Mitchell will be racing on the "new" Pueo,he's gotta be a contender

#47 Sun, 04/01/2012 - 2:59pm

wow. amazing if Jamie does the solo and does well. he's an all around beast at everything he does.

#48 Sun, 04/01/2012 - 8:46pm

Nappy...On a rudderless

#49 Mon, 04/02/2012 - 7:12am

I choose Pat Dolan in a sprint finish any day of the week. Should be a good race.

#50 Mon, 04/02/2012 - 1:18pm

Hoot Hoot!

My goodness gracious, my feathers are really ruffled now. Whats this propaganda? Really Keizo? Come on now ol' chap, I was not created on a computer screen.
Let me tell you a little story of my past.
My Father Johnathan Puakea of Pupukea found me deep in the valleys of Maunawili in late 2008 after I had dropped out of my nest. I was severely parched and feeling vulnerable so I agreed to leave my home lands of the Hawaiian mountain terrain to the ocean seas especially the Hawaii Kai Run, where mutual bird friends would be met. He never realized at the time, I would be great, and even be something for the spank bank as the fan boys bate. But Kamanu had met its mate and the phone lines began to ring. Luke replied, "your too late", "this canoe has a two year long wait". For goodness sake, I have to say something many will hate, I have been demoted, but reloaded so get ready for 2 more years of waiting to touch these feathers.

BTW Jimbo, those compression pants are not only squeezing your olo's but also my feathers.

#51 Mon, 04/02/2012 - 1:59pm

Simply to clarify, that video was posted on April 1st. Here is what precedes it on the Kamanu website:

April 1st, 2012
After years of observation, months of computer aided iteration, and about 18 seconds of on the water testing– we are proud to announce the completion of the 2nd generation Pueo.

  • April 2nd Edit– Sorry guys, we couldn’t resist posting that on April Fools. The 2nd generation Pueo is still undergoing extensive ocean trials. But we are planning to begin production in July. Hopefully you enjoyed our lighthearted video insight into the design process of our newest canoe.

#52 Mon, 04/02/2012 - 4:28pm

Winds are looking pretty epic for the solo*.... time to start changing your predictions?


#53 Sun, 04/08/2012 - 6:32pm

Luckily its changing a few times a day now. Showing good solid trades now. Keep up the wind dancing!

#54 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 9:27am

I'll go on record right now and say Windguru has been crap for accurate predictions in Hawaii for the last couple years. If you want to get meaningful data to predict the conditions in the channel on Sunday, you're better off studying the patterns in your cat's litter box. I wanted to be a believer, and every time I decide to do some flat water training because Windguru is calling for no wind, I wind up bashing against heavy trades trying to claw my way from kaimana to black point, as a string of old guys who still read newspapers and haven't gotten around to checking out the "Inter- Net" go zinging by on their Hawaii Kai runs, looking at me like I'm a total retard.

Windguru sells ad space by promising to give you hour by hour wind conditions, specific in one knot increments, a week in advance, at one billion locations worldwide. As crazy at that sounds, their business model works! Windy type people all over the planet are slavishly checking that site several times a day, jonesing for that next mainline jolt of pure data weenie omniscience. But here's the sad truth: In 2009 as economic austerity swept the globe, Winguru founder John Cheval De Troie lost his advertisers and was facing financial ruin. In desperation, he offered his world-class computer modeling skills to the only company on the planet still turning a profit in those bleak times: Kamanu Composites.

Of course they never returned his voicemail, which De Troie took as a personal snub. He decided to devote the rest of his life inflicting pain and sorrow on paddlers everywhere with bogus wind forecasts. He sold off all his expensive computers and bought a small army of chimpanzees left over from medical research projects. 24 hours a day, the chimps toss darts at a map of the globe, and at a wind speed chart, and post the results on the site.

Turns out the chimps are correct often enough that no seemed to notice the difference! In fact, De Troie's new product provides his customers with an intermittent reward schedule that has worked for casinos and drug dealers for centuries, and the site is now more successful than ever as the advertisers came flocking back looking to cash in on the formula.

For now, the NOAA managers are sticking with their dusty old non-profit methods, and their forecasts remain as accurate as ever, helping keep ocean people safe with good information. Admittedly it's not packaged with much sex appeal, and you don't get much a high when they're correct. But for everyone looking to put odds on Pat vs. Big Toddy on Sunday, remember the story of a Frenchman spurned...

#55 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 9:49am

Post of the year goes to pswitzer

#56 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 10:17am

Thats a great story but it seems to work for me MOST of the time and right now it gives me HOPE for sunday which is a lot better than spending my week dreading the race. I also only use the free iphone app and have yet to see anything sexy so maybe I need to upgrade?

#57 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 11:03am

Big Toddy, any conditions. The guy is on a mission.

#58 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 1:01pm

This has to be the most competitive field of contenders that we've ever seen. Instead of two or maybe three guys with a shot, there are literally seven people all with a fair chance at winning this year. No matter what happens, it'll be the most exciting OC-1 race in the history of the sport.

#59 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 2:41pm

My friend who knows Big Toddy says- Big Toddy can't fall asleep unless he has his Pat Dolan night light on to protect him at night.

#60 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 2:47pm


You are usually very logical in your approach, but I think you might be a little biased.

If Todd does win, it will be an amazing achievement, since I don;t think he is completely familiar with the waters and has to travel across the country. Maybe he has an experienced Aussie on his escort boat.

I still wish we could get one or two of the top Tahitians to come over and race with a rudder.

I would love to see where they placed.

#61 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 3:24pm

We had a fast tahitian come over a few years back in a flat water boat in flat water conditions and I believe Kai was well ahead when his shoulder started bothering him and he pulled out.

#62 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 3:42pm

(with tongue firmly in cheek)
If As widely tipped Pat wins it will be largely due to his superb conditioning and preparednes which is the result of HCKT sessions and coaching by Guy Wilding( an Australian))
If Danny Kai , Karel, Aaron or Lauren were to win it would be largely due to their off season in (you guessed it) Australia.
If Todd wins it will be due to the influence of his personal trainer and mentor Rhys Davies (an Australian)

Good luck to all entrants and may the conditions be epic.

#63 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 5:44pm

whoever pulls it off will be doing it on a Hawaiian craft (outrigger) in Hawaiian waters. so there goes that theory. Australia has nothing to do with it.

Edit. This comes across pretty bad. Every place has something to do with it. For me to imply any one place is meaningless whilst another has everything to do with it was wrong. People all over the world are part of the sport. Cheers.

Edit edit. But especially good luck to everyone from Hawai'i.

#64 Mon, 04/09/2012 - 8:31pm

Eh Rambo,

An Aussie boys invented rap too : ) : 0 edit a day later : .... sorry, meant beatboxing.

Go Aaron, Jimmy, Kai, Karel, Manny

ah huh ah huh : 0

#65 Wed, 04/11/2012 - 12:42am

It's good to see this cross-Pac rivalry heating up. Before too long we're going to have gangs of Aussies and Hawaiians going at each other at the Shack after-party like soccer hooligans! I recommend all us island dwellers meet up at Manny's place tonight to watch the entire "Crocodile Dundee" series so we know what we're up against. For instance, don't get complacent when you duck the boomerang the first time around- that thing comes back!

I did some Big Toddy research for ammunition in this slug-fest, and I have some bad news- I think Rambo's claims are erring on the conservative side... I found one of Rambo's videos from last year in which Travis Grant gets schooled by Mr. Toddy.... who is paddling..... A Pahoa! I shit you not!

It's the strangest thing to watch, I suspect it may be some kind of smoke-and-mirrors trickery cooked up by Rambo. Toddy is this huge guy loping along in front, looking like a caveman who was frozen thousands of years ago astride his Pahoa, then thawed out and dropped onto the Gold Coast of Oz where he commences kicking ass without skipping a beat, having completely missed out on the Pueo revolution....disturbing stuff indeed. The "local waters" argument might not hold up in the face of this threat. As long as he knows how to head west, we're in trouble...

#66 Tue, 04/10/2012 - 8:14am

It's even more disturbing that the OCP Mafia and their fellow Pueo lickin hulligans haven't scrubbed this video off the internet. Either they are getting lazy or they're afraid to piss off Big Toddy.

#67 Tue, 04/10/2012 - 12:16pm

Todd is the current Australian Open Mens Champion, beating the likes of Greg Long, Travis Grant, Chris Maynard, Kai, Karel & Danny Ching so the 'Big Unit' will keep the locals honest. Will local knowledge be an advantage? I think so, but whatever happens, it will be a great race for sure!

#68 Tue, 04/10/2012 - 1:29pm

At least there's no added pressure for Toddy or Pat....

#69 Tue, 04/10/2012 - 2:32pm

KonaJ, I am being logical, normally a fishing trawler wake causes me to huli if I'm unawares. But after remounting and turning my head in the wake culprits direction to offer my verbal abuse, therein my sight is a rapidly dissappearing wake generating machine ... Big Toddy on said 1st gen fibreglass Pegasus.

Seriously, the man has lazily paddled off his power at low rpm for years and still been top 5 in big races. Having only rescently discovered he was also born with a cardio system size of Pharlap and taught how to use it, the combination of power, bump skill, arms longer than Walter Guild and now speed, should have opponents rummaging the bathroom cupboard for a lethal combination that sent Pharlap to the "stables in the Sky" all those years ago.

It's all over rover if he makes the start line.

.....Oh, and watch out for those freaking wakes, might be a good idea to notify authorities to ignore Tsunami early warning alarms on race day:-)

#70 Wed, 04/11/2012 - 1:56pm

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